The 997.1 Carrera S market has recovered to a $55,500 twelve-month median, and the single biggest variable in what a car brings is no longer mileage — it's whether the seller paid $300 for a borescope.
Across all 795 completed BaT auctions for the Carrera S, 671 sold for an 84.4% sell-through — a liquid, well-understood market. The all-time median is $50,997 (mean $52,641), with a 25th-to-75th spread of $41,251–$62,500 and a full range of $19,500 to $121,000. That interquartile band is the story: roughly half of all cars land within $21k of each other, and the difference between the bottom and top quartile is essentially specification (manual coupe vs. Tiptronic cabriolet), generation (997.1 vs. 997.2), and how much engine paperwork the seller bothered to produce.
The trend is up but choppy. Medians ran $38–41k from 2016 through 2020, jumped to $53,000 in 2021 and $57,500 in 2022, softened to $55,250 in 2023, then collapsed to $44,000 in 2024 (n=82) before recovering to $55,250 in 2025 and $56,500 year-to-date in 2026 (n=61). The last twelve months median $55,500 vs. $51,780 the prior twelve, +7.2%. Read the 2024 dip as a genuine air pocket rather than noise — the 2024 sold range ($24,250–$93,500) shows plenty of cheap cars clearing. Anyone using 2024 comps to argue value today is a year behind.
Within the analysed subset the transmission split is stark: manual median $58,700 (n=39) vs. Tiptronic $44,500 (n=5). PDK shows $59,997 (n=5) but that's 997.2 cars, a different animal. Commenters price the automatic penalty aggressively — on 18k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe, which went reserve-not-met at $58,500, Collectibleclassics wrote "LOL if this was a manual we would EASILY be double the current bid," and FredSpreen called it a "$10k price reduction." On 23k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet, JQuillen said outright: "just couldn't pull the trigger on an automatic."
Mileage matters far less than buyers assume. The 48-car mileage table is close to noise below 80k: a 33k-mile 2008 cabriolet brought $44,500 while an 82k-mile 2006 manual coupe brought $61,000, and a 73k-mile 2008 manual coupe with disclosed bore scoring in three cylinders still made $66,000. What actually separated cars was documentation. 46k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed went reserve-not-met at $54,000 in April 2026, and the identical car relisted in May with borescope and compression results attached sold for $58,000. On 24k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, bidding stalled in the $30ks amid IMS scepticism, then ran from $42,000 to $68,000 in the final half-hour once the seller posted borescope video and the DME report. That is the price of transparency, measured directly.
42k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed obtained a clear Bodymotion borescope under community pressure and made $79,000; Craig66's post-sale comment was "see what a simple bore scope will do – remember for the future and well done." No Reserve: 31k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed brought $74,000 with dealer borescope showing no scoring, 190–200 psi across all six, zeros in DME ranges 4–6 and the large-bearing serial #68514618 confirmed — CentralOregon called it the "gold standard on the engine." 46k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed went reserve-not-met at $54,000, then sold for $58,000 on the relist after borescope and compression results were posted.
Analysed-subset medians: manual $58,700 (n=39) vs. Tiptronic $44,500 (n=5). 18k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe — an 18,000-mile car, the lowest-mileage coupe in the recent set — went reserve not met at $58,500 purely because it was a Tiptronic, with commenters estimating manual equivalents at $100k. 23k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet failed at $42,750 and the relisted 23k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet cleared at only $44,500; mb36cg called the $3,420 Tiptronic option "the most value-destructive option imaginable."
2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with 61,000 miles made $85,625 — more than almost any 997.1 in the set regardless of mileage; TUD17: "the 7.2 is peak water-cooled 911." Original-Owner 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe (56k, PDK) brought $70,500 and Original-Owner 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe (73k, PDK) brought $69,600. Even a 91,000-mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe made $56,500 — above the all-time median.
Manual cabriolets cluster $39,000–$61,000 in the recent set: 30k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed $50,000, 37k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed $45,750, 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed (66k) $42,500. Manual coupes at similar or higher mileage ran $58,000–$79,000: 42k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $79,000, 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (82k miles) $61,000.
29k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed — a one-owner, 29,000-mile manual — sold for only $49,000 against $64,000–$66,000 for the comparable 31k and 32k-mile manual coupes, because Carfax showed 2008 structural damage and seller LUXAUTO99 admitted "I do not have any records"; TJGT3 flagged the hood-to-bumper gap mismatch in picture #7. 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet with two Carfax damage entries and 106k miles brought $46,000 — bill930p: "This is WAY lite on a 997.2."
29k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed hit $83,500 — the top 997.1 result in the recent set — despite refusing a borescope, because the prior owner (JDVATL) vouched for it publicly and the DME was clean. 32k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed made $64,000, 31k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed made $66,000, and Original-Owner 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at 13,000 miles made $68,500 (held back by a missing OEM exhaust).
2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed in Ruby Red Metallic with paint-matched seat backs made $59,500 at 61k miles with no Sport Chrono — tomcolt3 asked "Does a paint job alone add $30 to $35K?" 37k-Mile 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed in GT Silver over Carrera Red made $61,000, the strongest 997.1 cabriolet result. Original-Owner 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe in Nordic Gold over Cocoa made $69,600. Analysed-subset colour medians: GT Silver Metallic $61,000 (n=3) vs. Black $49,625 (n=12).
47k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe X51 6-Speed made $74,500 against $53,000–$58,700 for standard 2007 coupes at 48k–49k miles. scornwel: "Probably one of less than 50 made for the US." The seller also had it scoped, which compounded the premium.
2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (87k, Atlas Grey manual) sold for $42,997 with no clutch, water-pump or thermostat records and an unexplained 2020 accident; AMGBME: "Wow. Congrats to the winner. Seems low compared to recent examples that were very similar." 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (73k) made $45,500 with a dealer answering "No records" — MonkeyButt70: "Scratching my head why this sold so low."
2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed with PCCB, manual, sport seats and clean Carfax sold for only $40,750 at 70k miles. 911outlaw_: "PCCB replacement is costly & becomes burden to value on high mileage entry level cars… very soon you'll see steel under those pretty yellow calipers." The seller could not produce actual wear-indicator readings.
| Spec | Median | Cars |
|---|---|---|
| Pdk | $59,997 | 5 |
| Manual | $58,700 | 39 |
| Tiptronic | $44,500 | 5 |
| Colour | Median | Cars |
|---|---|---|
| Gt Silver Metallic | $61,000 | 3 |
| Arctic Silver Metallic | $53,000 | 11 |
| Guards Red | $52,911 | 3 |
| Black | $49,625 | 12 |
2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had scoring found on cylinder #6 mid-auction with 18% leakdown vs. 6–8% elsewhere; picture_this, who says he has owned nine 997s, commented "In my experience, the 'S' 3.8L engine is more prone to scoring than the Base 3.6L. And cold weather cars again more prone." 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (Meteor Grey, 73k) showed wear marks on #6, #5 and #3, and dealer beckseuropean conceded "the 3 cylinders noted are below a healthy standard." 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed showed scoring in all cylinders plus silicon in the July 2025 Blackstone report; bidder Mlendroth7 posted "There are a few bore images that look concerning to me. Im out." On 29k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, WalterWhitesAztek noted "5-10% of these engines have the issue and repair is $20,000-30,000… A car can have early bore scoring and still drive totally fine." Cost anchors cited by commenters range $20k–$35k for a rebuild.
Check: Borescope of all six cylinders through the spark-plug holes with images posted per cylinder, plus per-cylinder leakdown (healthy cars in this set read 6–8%; the scored cylinder read 18%) and a compression figure (190–200 psi on a good car; ~250 psi was flagged as anomalous). Check for driver-side tailpipe soot vs. passenger side, cold-start smoke, oil consumption, and warm-idle ticking. Blackstone oil analysis alone is not a substitute — check for silicon and metal.
omi205 on 42k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed: "Post mid 2005 the 997 changed to the latest (single larger barrel) version of the IMS and the failure rate is below 1%… The bare minimum when buying a 997 are: DME report and Bore Scope." Friarmike84 on 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet: "997s from 06 and newer have the larger, non-serviceable bearings. Basically, not an issue." But on 24k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Quackbury pushed back hard — "it's the earlier single-row ones like in this car which are problematic" — and noted the Jake Raby view that low-mileage cars may be most at risk. Treat pre-mid-2005 cars as a different, higher-risk category from 2006–2008.
Check: Photograph the engine serial and check it against the large-bearing cutoff. Commenters cite 01 68509791 as the changeover and No Reserve: 31k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed confirmed #68514618 as the updated part. Also check the door-jamb build date — Porsche changed mid-2005. If the clutch has been out, ask whether the IMS/RMS area was photographed.
On 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, the seller found a leak during his own borescope and could not say whether it was RMS or IMS seal; OnlySixes noted "That leak certainly also looks like its been leaking for a while unfortunately." On 32k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, the first repair order recorded a "not new" oil leak at the bell housing and farmer-rob's direct question — "was the source identified (rear main vs. IMS seal) and addressed?" — never got a clean answer. Cars where this was already fixed sold well: 30k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed had clutch, flywheel, slave cylinder and RMS all done March 2023 and made $54,000.
Check: Get under the car with a light and look at the bell-housing seam and the transmission bell for wet oil or a dried trail. Ask specifically whether the leak is RMS or IMS flange, because you cannot tell without pulling the box. If clutch work has been done, insist on the invoice showing RMS replaced at the same time.
2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (65k) needed a water pump and thermostat in April 2026 during pre-sale inspection — the analysis flagged this as evidence of a maintenance gap. 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (82k) had water pump, thermostat, expansion tank, coils and plugs all done in 2021 and made $61,000. On 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (Meteor Grey), cvrran asked about thermostat temperature and the seller confirmed a 71C unit against factory ~80C — the thread's view was that running cold may itself worsen bore scoring. On 15k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe, MGB6 asserted "All 3.8 engines should have a center radiator" and the seller never addressed it.
Check: Ask for dated invoices for water pump, thermostat and coolant expansion tank. These are time-based, not mileage-based — a 30k-mile car on original parts is more at risk than a 70k-mile car that had them done in 2023. Also check whether a low-temperature thermostat has been fitted, and whether the centre radiator is present on 3.8L cars.
On 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed (Meteor Grey), wdgreene noted "some light startup smoke in the cold-start video" and shawnmorgan added "I think 1.5L of oil burn in 1000km is something to have a little concern about related to the bore scoring"; no borescope, compression or leakdown was ever done. 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had its AOS and front coolant pipes replaced in 2021 and the seller still reported occasional cold-start smoke. On 42k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Flatsix123 saw "significant puff of smoke from left exhaust" — resolved only when the borescope came back clear.
Check: Demand a genuine cold-start video (engine untouched overnight, filmed from behind). Ask for quarts added between changes in writing. Sellers routinely wave off smoke as normal; commenters in this set consistently treated it as an AOS-or-bores decision point.
18k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe disclosed "Leather shrinkage can be seen on the dashboard"; Collectibleclassics put repair at $1,800–$2,000 and KyleHaney11 treated it as a material deduction. 37k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed had "Black marker… applied to the climate adjustment switches" — a hack fix. On 23k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet, AgnarJ was surprised by the wear at 23k miles and the seller explained the factory soft-touch coating deteriorates regardless of use. 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had already had its sticky buttons and climate switches replaced.
Check: Press every centre-stack and climate button. Look along the top of the dash and the A-pillar joins for shrinkage and lifting. On 997.1s these degrade with age, not use — a 23k-mile car showed the same wear as an 80k one.
2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet had "convertible top hydraulic cylinders replaced March 2026 ($2,481.65)" — a documented cost figure. 37k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed had rear window regulators replaced; 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet (106k) had a left-rear regulator done in 2023; 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet had a right-rear regulator done in 2024. On 37k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed, C-man flagged the top lining separating in photos 131 and 134 and the seller's only answer was that it was "just untucked."
Check: Cycle every window fully, up and down, twice. On cabriolets cycle the roof several times cold and listen for the pump straining; check the hydraulic rams behind the trim for weeping. Inspect the top lining at the rear corners and the seal between top and quarter window.
On 47k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe X51 6-Speed the borescope visit at Spec German Porsche turned up cracks in a couple of coil packs, which the seller then replaced along with plugs. Lesr3204: "those minuscule cracks in the coils when you drive in a bit of rain get humidity in the coils and you get misfires. Sometimes those cracks are extremely hard to see. Personally now I have a higher number in mind of what I'm willing to pay for this car."
Check: Pull the coils or have them inspected under light for hairline cracks — Lesr3204 notes they can be nearly invisible. If plugs and coils have not been done in the last five years, budget for the set.
35k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed had a March 2026 record noting "climate vents were blown out," explained as deteriorated foam inside the HVAC ducting. On 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed the seller disclosed "it will blow some small pieces of black foam at you occasionally. It is the lining inside the vents that has deteriorated over time and it is a common issue in these cars."
Check: Run the fan on high on all settings and watch for black flakes. Fixing it properly means blowing out or dismantling the ducting.
2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed: spoiler "inoperable since purchase in September 2022" and never investigated. On 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, edsmax — a 997.1 C2S owner — wrote "the exhaust is hanging low and the motor mounts will need to be replaced." On 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed the seller himself recommended replacing the original 18-year-old shocks. 49k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had already needed rear shocks, sunroof motor, PCM and starter.
Check: Deploy the spoiler at the switch and at speed. Cycle the sunroof. Look at whether the exhaust hangs low (a mount tell) and ask whether the shocks are original — at 18-20 years they are done regardless of mileage.
On 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet the seller answered MGB6 flatly: "No, it hasn't been serviced," and Glenn930 pointed out Porsche recommends it "every several years regardless of the mileage" — the car went reserve not met at $52,000. On Original-Owner 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe, Spokayman asked about PDK and differential service and the seller replied "I will need to dig a little more" and never came back. By contrast 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe documented a January 2019 PDK flush at ~30k miles and Oibguy publicly credited it; the car sold at $59,997.
Check: Get a dated invoice for the PDK fluid and filter service. Porsche's interval is roughly every 30k miles or several years; on a 2009 car in 2026 a low-mileage example can easily be 17 years on original fluid.
40k-Mile 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet had Pirelli P Zeros with 2015 and 2016 date codes. 38k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed had 2015 tyres the seller claimed "look like they were put on yesterday." 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed carried 2017-dated tyres; D328jet flagged them and the seller argued mileage rather than age. Old rubber is also a tell that the car sat.
Check: Read all four DOT date codes yourself from photographs. 2015–2017 codes appeared repeatedly on 30–40k-mile cars. Budget $1,500–2,000 for a set of Pilot Sport 4S.
Driver-grade 997.1: $40,000–$48,000. That buys a 60–90k-mile manual coupe or a 30–70k-mile cabriolet, typically with a Carfax blemish, patchy records, and no borescope. Expect to spend on cooling components, mounts, shocks and tyres, and to carry the bore-scoring risk yourself — budget a $20k–$35k contingency or don't buy at this level. Tiptronic cars live here permanently, around $44,500 median.
Strong 997.1: $55,000–$68,000. A manual coupe under 50k miles with documented water pump/thermostat/coils, a clean borescope and DME, verified large-bearing serial, and a clean Carfax. That is what 32k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($64,000, proactive borescope and $9k of recent service) and 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at 65k miles ($63,500, fresh clutch, water pump, thermostat) actually cost. Manual cabriolets of the same quality run $50,000–$61,000.
Best-in-class 997.1: $74,000–$85,000. Sub-35k miles, manual, desirable colour, full engine paperwork — No Reserve: 31k-Mile 2005 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $74,000, 42k-Mile 2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $79,000, 29k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $83,500. Add roughly $10–15k for a genuine X51 (47k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe X51 6-Speed, $74,500 at 47k miles).
997.2 (2009–2012): $56,000–$70,000 for a well-documented PDK coupe regardless of whether it shows 56k or 91k miles; $85,000+ for a manual. The DFI engine removes the bore-scoring and IMS discussion entirely, and the market now prices that certainty in.

Top result in the recent set. A 997.2 manual — no bore-scoring or IMS exposure, DFI engine — with a clean April 2026 DME showing zero over-revs past Range 2, and three separate in-person inspections posted in the thread (tutone, Sloth67, changedriven). The 997.2 three-pedal car is the segment the enthusiast money is chasing.

Highest 997.1 result despite the seller flatly refusing a borescope ("we don't have a bore scope and we will not have it by end of auction"). What carried it: 29k miles, a clean DME, a full receipt binder, and the immediate prior owner (JDVATL) publicly vouching for it. Provenance substituted for diagnostics — but a buyer paid a top-of-market price for an unverified M97.

$15k above the two comparable 31–32k-mile 2006 manual coupes that sold for $64,000–$66,000 without proper engine paperwork. The difference was a clear Bodymotion borescope and an excellent DME, obtained mid-auction after the seller was initially dismissive. This is the cleanest single demonstration in the data that scoping a car pays for itself many times over.

Well under market for an Atlas Grey manual coupe with a clean borescope. Sunk by an accumulation: a 2020 Carfax accident where the seller only "believes" paintwork was done, no clutch/water-pump/thermostat records, an exceptionally worn driver's seat, exhaust hanging low on tired mounts, mismatched tyres, and an unnamed inspection shop. AMGBME: "Seems low compared to recent examples that were very similar."

A manual cabriolet with PCCB, sport seats and clean Carfax at only $40,750. The ceramic brakes were a liability, not an asset — the seller refused to photograph the wear-indicator dots after three requests — and he also declined paint-meter readings while claiming no bodywork. PierroW: "this was sold for $5-10K below where I would have seen it going."

Reserve not met at $58,500 on the lowest-mileage coupe in the recent set — 18,000 miles, Aerokit, clean Carfax. The Tiptronic killed it, compounded by dashboard leather shrinkage, one key, and no window sticker. Collectibleclassics: "If anyone has a 18k mile 997 Carrera S Coupe factory XAA 6-speed Ill pay 100k for it now!"

A fully sorted DeMan track build — cage, Motons, GT3 brakes, fire system, AiM data, 160 psi uniform compression — for $37,997. The salvage certificate from Superstorm Sandy, replaced instrument cluster and unverifiable total chassis mileage capped it. Builder Rick DeMan himself said "I'm not gonna watch this thing get sold for that little of a price." Purpose-built track cars trade at a structural discount to street cars in this model.
If you want the analogue 911 experience and can live with engine risk, the 997.1 manual coupe at $55,000–$65,000 with a clean borescope, clean DME and documented cooling-system work is the buy — and refuse to pay strong money for any 3.8L without those three documents, no matter how few miles it shows. If you'd rather not think about cylinder walls at all, stretch to a documented 997.2: a PDK Carrera S at $56,000–$70,000 is arguably the better car and the safer money, and the manual 997.2 at $85,000-plus is the one the market has already decided is the collectible. Avoid Tiptronic 997.1s unless you're buying at a genuine $10k discount and never intend to sell. Walk away from any car where the seller argues about a borescope instead of getting one — the thread on 30k-Mile 2007 Porsche 911 Carrera S Cabriolet 6-Speed shows exactly how that ends.
These are patterns, not findings. A public auction record cannot show intent, and everything below has ordinary explanations — specialists and dealers bid on many cars of one model, enthusiasts run up cars they end up losing, and new accounts are usually just new. Read them as places to look closely, not as accusations.
Common for a dealer or marque specialist who follows one seller's inventory. It is also the shape worth checking, so here are the listings:
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 13 of 13 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (MarcRAck, a12ox, supertramp61, wjobke001). The typical auction for this model runs 61%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 14 of 15 bids in the final 15 minutes (93%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Kaladin7, pmasoero, derekdebenedetto1). The typical auction for this model runs 61%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Underbidder placed much of the ladder — foreignaffairsmotorsport placed 11 of 26 bids (42%) and did not win. Enthusiastic losing bidders are common; a very high share is still worth reading the thread for.
notice Price set by two accounts trading bids — 75% of the ladder is the same two accounts alternating. This is what a genuine duel looks like too — it only matters alongside another signal.
notice Price set by two accounts trading bids — 74% of the ladder is the same two accounts alternating. This is what a genuine duel looks like too — it only matters alongside another signal.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 20 of 20 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Brycus, Fexy, Healeyd90, Anemoni). The typical auction for this model runs 61%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
notice Price set by two accounts trading bids — 77% of the ladder is the same two accounts alternating. This is what a genuine duel looks like too — it only matters alongside another signal.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 11 of 11 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Nmadde02, jackvg09). The typical auction for this model runs 61%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
notice Price set by two accounts trading bids — 73% of the ladder is the same two accounts alternating. This is what a genuine duel looks like too — it only matters alongside another signal.



























































