The 997.2 C2S manual has quietly become a $75–90k car, and the market now pays more for a documented DME report and a rare colour than it does for the last 20,000 miles on the odometer.
Across all 53 completed BaT auctions, 45 sold for an 84.9% sell-through — high, but the eight no-sales tell you where sellers overreach. Median sold price is $75,000, mean $73,322, with the interquartile band running $64,600 to $85,000 and the full range spanning $22,750 (a salvage-titled, hacked-about 4.0L conversion) to $108,000. The trend is up but no longer vertical: yearly medians moved $51,500 (2019) → $72,006 (2021) → $82,000 (2022), then dipped to $75,000 (2023) and $73,000 (2024) before recovering to $79,500 in 2025. The last 12 months median of $82,313 is only +2.9% on the $80,000 of the prior year. The two 2026 sales (median $95,313) are too few to call a new plateau, though 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $105,000 in June 2026 and 18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $108,000 in May 2025 show where the ceiling is for genuinely low-mileage, well-documented cars.
The spread between a good one and a bad one is enormous for a car with one engine, one gearbox and one body style. Black cars average $65,672 (n=12) against $87,000 for Aqua Blue Metallic (n=3), $83,500 Macadamia Metallic (n=3), $82,500 Arctic Silver (n=4) and $79,000 Meteor Gray (n=5). Mileage matters, but not linearly: 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with 74,000 miles took $71,000 in December 2025 — more than 33k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($51,000) or 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at 79,000 miles ($51,500) — because it had a 2022 clutch, full recent service, factory carbon buckets and third-party in-person verification. Conversely No Reserve: 19k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed managed only $64,600 in January 2021 on a thin file.
What actually moves the hammer is paperwork and colour. Cars with a clean DME over-rev report, paint-meter readings and a continuous service file clear $80k regardless of whether they show 24k or 45k miles: No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at 45,000 miles hit $88,888, while 44k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with no DME and a 2015-to-2022 service gap made $66,156 and commenter micromax said flatly "without service records and DME report too risky of investment." Every one of the eight reserve-not-met cars had at least one of: missing DME (19k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $74,000; 49k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $66,000), an absent seller (15k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $68,000), a disclosed collision (2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, RNM $46,000), or a salvage/TMU title (2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, RNM $45,250).
Bidding pattern is consistent and worth knowing: these cars stall in the mid-$50s/low-$60s and then get decided in the last fifteen minutes by two or three determined bidders. The $105,000 car was won on a jump bid at the death; the $87,500 12k-mile 2009 went from $70k to $87,500 in rapid-fire increments despite a thread full of unresolved concerns. Do not read a soft mid-auction price as the market.
18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed took $108,000 and 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $105,000 — the two highest sales recorded. 12k-Mile 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed made $90,500 and No Reserve: 12k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $87,500. But the premium is conditional: No Reserve: 19k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed only realised $64,600 on a thin file in early 2021.
Colour medians: Aqua Blue Metallic $87,000 (n=3), Macadamia Metallic $83,500 (n=3) vs Black $65,672 (n=12). 27k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed in Aqua Blue took $87,000 despite two disclosed collision repairs; 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed in cream white over natural brown made $93,500, with exbrit noting "even harder to find this spec in a rare colour like cream white." 46k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed cleared $70,512 with 6 owners largely on Aqua Blue rarity.
Every RNM in the sample lacked one or had it questioned. On 19k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (RNM $74,000) SteveLilley wrote "A clean DME report with just a handful of Range 1 overrevs would have probably increased the final bid over the reserve amount"; on 49k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (RNM $66,000) cdboynton5 said "Maybe with a DME it would have gone further." By contrast 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed whose DME showed the car had never passed range 1 sold at $75,000 in 2021, above the year's $72,006 median.
18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (Carrara White over natural brown, LSD + sport exhaust + sport seats) reached $86,000 in 2023 with quickxotica calling it "a very rare combo of options... It's almost a GTS w/o centerlocks." 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed advertised PASM/LSD prominently at $93,500. Conversely 26k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed went RNM at $73,000 with commenters flagging no Sport Chrono and no sport exhaust as "sort of a deal breaker above $70K."
No Reserve: 4.0L-Powered 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, salvage with two total-loss entries, sold for $22,750 — the lowest result in the dataset. No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with a rebuilt/salvage California title at 123,000 miles took $41,997. The TMU/Copart car, 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, failed to clear $45,250.
On 49k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, working 997 mechanic wilhit10 priced the market: "A non S with a non structural accident is good at 50-55 grand. A S with a non structural accident…" — the car went RNM at $66,000. 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with 2010 front-end damage recorded on the Canadian Carfax but not the US one went RNM at $46,000. 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with two prior respray events and a 2013 rear-ender took $51,500 at 79,000 miles.
Black is the largest colour cohort (n=12) and the cheapest at a $65,672 median against $75,000 overall. 39k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (Basalt Black) $65,000; 42k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $62,000; 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at 41,000 miles $56,661. Black cars only break $80k when miles are very low, as with 36k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $80,500.
On 33k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($51,000), cbalster wrote: "Lack of service records, even verification of previous oil change, Canadian market example, and lack of paint meter readings left $5k on the table in my opinion." 44k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed made $66,156 with a documented gap from 2015; 02911dog called it a "$70k+ car." 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed with one oil-change invoice for a 14-year span took $66,744 at 73,000 miles.
Modified 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (GT3 Cup bumper, BBS E88s, every original part boxed) sold for $82,000 at 51,000 miles in June 2022 — above that year's $82,000 median for the whole model despite the mileage. By contrast 27k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed did not include its original wheels, and 40k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had not retained the original exhaust or shifter; both drew comment.
| Colour | Median | Cars |
|---|---|---|
| Aqua Blue Metallic | $87,000 | 3 |
| Macadamia Metallic | $83,500 | 3 |
| Arctic Silver Metallic | $82,500 | 4 |
| Meteor Gray Metallic | $79,000 | 5 |
| Guards Red | $74,997 | 5 |
| Black | $65,672 | 12 |
On No Reserve: 28k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Dr.Y asked "Gear oil change (Every 12 years or 120k miles), has it been done?" — the seller answered "He did not do it and isn't aware of it being done" on a 16-year-old car; expansion tank and brake line status were both answered "Not sure." On No Reserve: 12k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed the Carfax showed one oil change in 16 years, the tyres carried 2008 date codes, and SOFO warned "If the engine oil has only be renewed by mileage and not by time, it will be full of sludge." 7k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, One-Owner 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (2015 tyres) and 34k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (2012 rears, 2014 fronts) all drew the same complaint.
Check: Tyre DOT date codes on all four (reject anything older than ~6 years regardless of tread). Documentary proof of transaxle/gear oil (Porsche interval quoted by commenters as 12 years/120k), brake fluid (2 years), coolant and spark plugs. Pull an oil sample or at minimum verify oil change dates, not just mileages.
On 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (Macadamia, $63,500) SpeedJunky identified that "the lid itself is incorrect. There should be a cutout on the right side for the right duct on a 997.2. This is a lid from a 997.1" — the seller then admitted the car had been backed into a parking pole, with no Carfax entry because no claim was filed; nwGTS warned of engine air starvation at WOT. On 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($71,000) TTtwist_97 flagged the missing hood manufacture sticker, "typically only seen on accident-involved cars." On 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($66,744) MrDOHC asked why the original 997.2 front bumper had been swapped for an aero kit: "Was the car been hit and not shown on Carfax?" On 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($56,661) Denniec offered the useful test: "One way to spot a full repaint on a dot 2 Porsche is to examine the tire pressure and loading sticker on the driver's side door jam."
Check: Paint-meter readings on every panel including the engine decklid and both bumpers; verify the 997.2 decklid has the cutout for the right-hand intake snorkel and that both rubber ducts to the airbox are present; check the tyre-pressure/loading sticker in the driver's door jamb is factory-original; look for the black hood manufacture sticker.
2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($71,000) had its clutch replaced in 2022 with under 15k miles on it — cited as a strength. 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($56,661) had a clutch replaced pre-2018 for reasons the seller couldn't explain, with commenters noting "clutch failure around 35k miles is reported concern on 997.2 models." On 49k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed the seller reported a hard-start requiring full clutch depression, fixed by adjustment rather than replacing the switch; 19k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had its clutch interlock switch replaced for an intermittent start issue; 34k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had a clutch switch replaced at 18,000 miles. On 18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed CupcakeS5 raised "997 shifter cable nylon end failures" — the seller had no records and could not rule it out.
Check: Ask for the clutch replacement receipt and mileage. Test for hard/no-start requiring a full clutch depression (the interlock switch symptom). Check shift feel across all gears cold, and ask whether shifter cables have ever been replaced.
On 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($105,000) Dr.Y questioned an apparently low radiator fluid level in the photos and got no seller response — the concern went into the sale unresolved. On 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($71,000) VanosYo noted the coolant reservoir appeared below minimum in photo 98; the seller said no leaks were known. On No Reserve: 28k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Dr.Y asked whether the expansion tank — "a common failure point on 997s" — was original and the seller answered "Not sure."
Check: Cold coolant level in the frunk reservoir against the min mark; pressure-test the system; establish whether the expansion tank is original and inspect for weeping at the seams; check for pink residue around the tank and radiators.
On 7k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Lesr3204 (a retired lubrication engineer) argued "Low mileage cars with few oil changes, driven in cold climates and the 3.8 engine are more prone to scoring" — no borescope was performed. On 15k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, jerryrocks reported his own 997.1 scored from sitting and required a $25k rebuild. Counterweight: on No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed l_r_gonzalez wrote "Bore score was not/is not a prevalent issue on the dot 2's as noted with the switch to DFI engines"; SteveLilley on 29k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed said he had "never heard of bore scoring being an issue on any of the 987.2 or 997.2 cars." These are stranger opinions, but the specialist consensus is clearly reassuring — the risk is concentrated in stored cars. Note 34k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed voluntarily supplied a Kirberg Motors borescope and sold at $73,000.
Check: Borescope the cylinders on any car that has sat, especially cold-climate cars with sub-1,000-mile annual use. Check DME for over-revs and ask for oil consumption figures over a documented interval.
On 15k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, five-year 997.2 owner OnlineAlias warned "the suspension is a thing.. there's a lot of expensive links under there and they do wear, even with just age." 40k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had $9,000 of April 2024 work including upper/lower control arms and a ball joint at 40k miles, which 455bobj questioned and the seller could only explain as "a time issue than mileage issue." On 18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, AliBabatheDon noted "the exhaust is hanging a bit low.. needs motor mounts" on a $108,000 car. 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had lower ball joints done in 2020 and a July 2025 inspection recommending front and rear shock bump stops.
Check: Have the PPI shop check all control arm bushings and ball joints, and look for a sagging exhaust as a proxy for tired engine mounts. Ask for the last alignment sheet.
2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($51,500, 79,000 miles) had its entire transmission replaced by Porsche Southpoint in August 2016 at 59k miles under CPO warranty for 1st gear synchro problems; the seller confirmed "The prior owner had some issues with 1st gear synchro and therefore had the transmission fully replaced by Porsche under his CPO warranty."
Check: On the test drive, shift into 1st and 2nd repeatedly while rolling and cold; feel for grind or baulk. Ask whether the gearbox is original.
No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed (123k miles) had its HPFP replaced under warranty by a previous owner. Modified 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed had the HPFP replaced in December 2020 "with the latest factory part." Not epidemic, but it is a real 9A1 wear item on this evidence.
Check: Ask whether the HPFP has been replaced and at what mileage; check for long crank or rough cold start; look for a stored fuel-pressure fault on a Durametric scan.
On 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, prior 2011 owner Brax2u said "Aside from sticky knobs I enjoyed three years of trouble-free, fast fun." 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed disclosed "the radio knobs have a sticky finish and there are blemishes on the door cards, center console, and the ignition surround." 25k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed noted slightly sticky PCM knobs; No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed disclosed peeling plastic on the driver's window switch trim.
Check: Press and twist every radio and HVAC knob; check the driver's window switch surround, door cards and ignition surround for peeling or bubbling. Budget accordingly — commenter GTSCL put dealer replacement labour on the window-switch trim at roughly $400.
On 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed the seller documented C151 as "a steering column module looking for PDK/Tiptronic signal in manual transmission vehicles" and the car still made $105,000. On both 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed ($71,000) and No Reserve: 12k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Denniec explained that "on these Porsches only bolts/nuts can rust; belly pan is plastic, exhaust is stainless." On 33k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed, Porscheguy11 stated 9A1 engines "are completely unaffected by Range 1-3 over-revs."
Check: Nothing beyond confirming the explanation. C151 on a manual 997 is the steering column module looking for a PDK signal. On the underside, only fasteners can rust — the belly pan is plastic, the exhaust stainless, the suspension and drivetrain aluminium.
Driver-grade, $52,000-66,000: black or silver, 45,000-80,000 miles, patchy service file, no DME, possibly a documented minor bumper repair. Think 42k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $62,000, 39k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $65,000 or 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $66,744. These are genuinely usable cars but you should assume $5,000-8,000 of catch-up: tyres, fluids, plugs, belt, bushings. Branded-title cars sit below this at $22,000-42,000 and should be treated as track or project purchases only.
Strong example, $75,000-88,000: 20,000-45,000 miles, Sport Chrono Plus and ideally Sport PASM/LSD, clean DME, paint-meter readings, continuous invoices, one or two owners. This is where the bulk of the market lives and where the 75th percentile ($85,000) and the last-12-months median ($82,313) sit. 24k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $79,000, 26k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $83,500, 25k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $85,000 and No Reserve: 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed at $88,888 all define the band.
Best-in-class, $90,000-108,000: under 20,000 miles with complete documentation, or 25,000-35,000 miles in a genuinely rare paint/leather combination. 12k-Mile 2012 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $90,500, 32k-Mile 2009 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $93,500, 18k-Mile 2011 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $105,000, 18k-Mile 2010 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed $108,000. Above roughly $95,000 you are buying a specific car for a specific reason, not the model, and liquidity thins fast.

Top sale in the dataset, +44% on the $75,000 median. Arctic Silver over black with Sport PASM, Sport Chrono Plus and sport exhaust, 18k miles, granular service invoices to the mile, and full BaT-documented provenance from the prior owner. Even so WsmataU called it "ridiculously overpriced for a 16 year old model," and AliBabatheDon flagged a low-hanging exhaust needing motor mounts and 2018-dated tyres — a reminder that the top of this market pays for the file, not perfection.

June 2026 result, one owner, 18k miles, original paint confirmed by meter, dark blue over black with red deviated stitching. Won on a late jump bid between three bidders. Notable that it cleared six figures with an unanswered question about low coolant and no Sport Chrono — scarcity of clean 2011 manuals is doing the work.

$93,500 in October 2024 against a 2024 median of $73,000 — the clearest colour/spec premium in the record. Cream white over natural brown full leather with PASM/LSD; exbrit: "It's very hard to find a low mileage manual, least of all with full leather and the PASM / LSD." Rustler correctly diagnosed the mechanism: "When someone sees a car that is otherwise hard to find and it's the right one for them, the market value is not the relevant benchmark anymore."

Lowest sale ever recorded for the model, roughly 70% below median. Two total-loss declarations, South Dakota salvage title that fails Georgia rebuilt inspection, deleted power steering, illuminated CEL, off-centre steering from unrepaired 2023 damage, an undocumented '4.0L' built by crank swap with no dyno and missing receipts, and a Turbo rear bumper that doesn't clear the exhaust. The winning bidder's own comment — "Let's hope this doesn't bite me in the ass" — is the assessment.

$41,997 for a 123,000-mile salvage/rebuilt car repaired after a 2012 light-pole hit, with filler confirmed by paint meter across the front end, hood and roof, no repair receipts, and no borescope. Winning bidder kenkaye3 was explicit that the salvage discount was fair. Useful as the floor for a driveable, honest, branded-title example.

The best value in the recent record: 74,000 miles but a 2022 clutch with under 15k on it, 2023 plugs/coils/belt, 2025 transaxle and oil service, factory carbon-fibre buckets, Sport Chrono Plus, ceramic coating and two commenters who inspected it in person. siavash: "This has to be the best deal ever for 997.2 C2S at this low price." The market is still pricing odometers over condition — that is the arbitrage.

Discount this comp. A 63,000-mile Meteor Gray car with fresh clutch/flywheel/RMS that appears to have been won by a keystroke error — bidding jumped from $70k increments to $79,500, and rsweber, who had driven the car, commented that "comparable cars have sold here recently for under $60K." Do not use it as a benchmark for a 60k-mile example.

$51,000 for a 33k-mile Meteor Gray car with Sport Chrono Plus — well below what mileage alone would suggest, even for 2019. Cause was documentary: no service records at all, four prior owners, a Canadian-market import, a repainted front bumper to fill plate holes, and a refusal to provide paint-meter readings. cbalster: that combination "left $5k on the table."
This is the right 911 for someone who wants hydraulic steering, a naturally aspirated 3.8, three pedals and no IMS anxiety, and who will actually drive it. Buy on documentation rather than odometer: the evidence in this record is that a 74,000-mile car with a fresh clutch and a complete file ($71,000) is a better purchase than a 33,000-mile car with no records ($51,000 — and that one needed everything). Target $75,000-85,000 for a documented 25,000-45,000-mile car with Sport PASM/LSD, Sport Chrono Plus and a clean DME. Pay up to the low $90ks only for a rare factory colour or a sub-20k car with a spotless file, and expect that money back slowly rather than quickly — the last-12-months figure is +2.9%, not a boom. Walk away from branded titles, from sellers who won't or can't produce a DME report, and from any car where the engine decklid, hood sticker or door-jamb label don't add up.
These are patterns, not findings. A public auction record cannot show intent, and everything below has ordinary explanations — specialists and dealers bid on many cars of one model, enthusiasts run up cars they end up losing, and new accounts are usually just new. Read them as places to look closely, not as accusations.
watch Underbidder placed much of the ladder — Bavarian850 placed 15 of 48 bids (31%) and did not win. Enthusiastic losing bidders are common; a very high share is still worth reading the thread for.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 11 of 11 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (charlieblue, mbnc997, ncbted, dpromubol). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 8 of 8 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Damoun718, gdoyle05, Azazel246, DickyD). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 28 of 31 bids in the final 15 minutes (90%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Hardymon, liuster2, AAZ24, ecabato8). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
notice Price set by two accounts trading bids — 60% of the ladder is the same two accounts alternating. This is what a genuine duel looks like too — it only matters alongside another signal.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 9 of 9 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Floatsby34, PicoMika). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Underbidder placed much of the ladder — SuperstarRob placed 10 of 27 bids (37%) and did not win. Enthusiastic losing bidders are common; a very high share is still worth reading the thread for.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 19 of 19 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (Dennietho, SuperstarRob, far911, jag13). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.
watch Closing bids came almost entirely from accounts with no posting history — 6 of 6 bids in the final 15 minutes (100%) came from accounts with under 25 lifetime likes (tathuluru, tofus). The typical auction for this model runs 56%, so this one is an outlier. Note the measure is weak — likes come from commenting, so a long-time bidder who never posts also scores zero.




















































